Unfortunately, there is little to add to recent commentary. The market looks overbought and ready for a trade-able correction, possibly the start of something greater based on longer term indicators such as cash levels at mutual funds, dividend yields, Shiller PE, etc.
While ideally I would like to see the McClellan higher, indicating a more overbought market internally thus more susceptible to a correction, it may be showing a bearish divergence. However I certainly have mixed feelings on the implications of the McClellan's recent behavior, as it is in the middle of the range, and it meaning arguable in either direction near term. Indicators of simple momentum seem to be in place for a a trade-able correction, especially with confirming signals from the put call ratio. So most pieces seem to be in place, and I just continue to wait for price action to produce a sell signal.
Chart 1: SPX with Indicators
Thoughts from a private trader. Tier 1 is a reference to pre-flop strategies in Poker, "Tier 1" being the best starting hands. Through years of education, tape reading, market watching, and trading experience, I've created my own methodology for defining and trading "Tier 1" opportunities in the financial markets. I use a variety technical indicators to analyze the stock market, bonds, commodities, and currencies.
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